Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Cousins 45.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 83.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Hayes
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Hayes
Cousins
Last 10: Hayes 10-0 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Cousins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Cousins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
3
Hayes
Cousins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
44.9% (1,508)
+2.6%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
44.6% (101)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
42.9% (7)
+2.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Hayes
Cousins
Home
48.1% (3,982)
46.7% (809)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Hayes
Cousins
P1
47.5%
47.5%
P2
47.6%
43.6%
P3
47.9%
43.6%
OT
54.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |