Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Cousins 50.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 57.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Hayes
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
56.7% (30)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
0.0% (1)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
0.0% (1)
+65.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +65.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Cousins is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Hayes
Cousins
Home
58.0% (405)
45.5% (11)
Away
56.1% (433)
57.1% (21)
By Period
Hayes
Cousins
P1
54.7%
55.6%
P2
55.7%
55.6%
P3
60.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |