Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Backstrom 48.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 53.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Hayes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayes
Backstrom
Last 7: Hayes 5-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
48.7% (635)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
42.0% (50)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
50.0% (46)
-15.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
50.6% (237)
48.0% (348)
Away
47.3% (241)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
43.9%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
48.2%
P3
55.9%
47.3%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |