Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 64.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hayes
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
53.2% (77)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
50.0% (6)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
0.0% (1)
+65.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +65.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
58.0% (405)
54.5% (55)
Away
56.1% (433)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
54.7%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
52.9%
P3
60.2%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%