Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Hayes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Hayes
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
51.4% (473)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
39.5% (38)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
33.3% (3)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
50.8% (313)
53.6% (278)
Away
48.2% (363)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
52.3%
51.5%
P2
47.7%
56.0%
P3
48.4%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |