Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Hayes
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
47.0% (541)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
47.4% (95)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
15.4% (13)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
43.5% (232)
48.5% (328)
Away
42.4% (375)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
40.1%
44.8%
P2
44.8%
42.9%
P3
42.4%
50.9%
OT
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%