Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Zacha 44.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 91.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 81.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Hayes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Hayes
Zacha
Last 8: Hayes 7-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
43.9% (643)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
48.9% (45)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
37.8% (37)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zacha
Home
50.0% (586)
44.6% (397)
Away
51.1% (526)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Hayes
Zacha
P1
52.3%
43.5%
P2
52.3%
44.6%
P3
47.3%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |