Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Hayes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
48.0% (296)
-5.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
61.0% (59)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.0% (22)
-4.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zacha
Home
43.5% (232)
48.9% (223)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Hayes
Zacha
P1
40.1%
47.9%
P2
44.8%
48.3%
P3
42.4%
54.3%
OT
80.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |