Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Hayes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
53.9% (787)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
63.2% (193)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
44.3% (88)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zacha
Home
58.0% (405)
56.7% (538)
Away
56.1% (433)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Hayes
Zacha
P1
54.7%
52.6%
P2
55.7%
54.8%
P3
60.2%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |