Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hayes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
54.1% (534)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.0% (109)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
44.8% (96)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zacha
Home
50.5% (200)
53.4% (406)
Away
53.4% (253)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Hayes
Zacha
P1
58.8%
56.8%
P2
49.3%
53.6%
P3
48.0%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |