Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Krebs 45.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 75.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 50.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
43.6% (346)
-10.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
25.0% (4)
+39.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
30.6% (49)
45.3% (172)
Away
45.7% (46)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
24.2%
45.5%
P2
43.8%
43.6%
P3
46.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
31.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |