Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Krebs 40.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 52.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Hayes
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
33.3% (159)
+9.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
61.5% (13)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
0.0% (1)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
43.5% (232)
37.0% (81)
Away
42.4% (375)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
40.1%
39.0%
P2
44.8%
32.8%
P3
42.4%
33.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |