Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
45.5% (501)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
50.0% (20)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
37.1% (35)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
50.8% (313)
43.9% (285)
Away
48.2% (363)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
52.3%
45.4%
P2
47.7%
50.9%
P3
48.4%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |