Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 51.0%
Defensive zone
Krebs 59.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 57.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hayes
Krebs
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Hayes
Krebs
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Hayes
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hayes
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
46.0% (2,159)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.5% (99)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
38.6% (171)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
48.1% (3,982)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
47.5%
45.9%
P2
47.6%
46.4%
P3
47.9%
44.8%
OT
54.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |