Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Danault 54.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 71.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 89.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 83.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Hayes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Hayes
Danault
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
0
Hayes
Danault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Hayes
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
55.0% (1,008)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
65.7% (99)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
47.6% (229)
-6.8%
On power play, Danault has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Danault is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Hayes
Danault
Home
52.0% (404)
53.0% (677)
Away
48.6% (422)
56.0% (659)
By Period
Hayes
Danault
P1
50.7%
50.6%
P2
50.2%
55.8%
P3
49.8%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |