Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Danault 53.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 39-33 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 59.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 75.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Hayes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
33
(72 meetings)
39
33
Hayes
Danault
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
12
9
Hayes
Danault
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
12
9
Hayes
Danault
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
15
15
Hayes
Danault
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
53.6% (9,447)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
61.4% (757)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
47.4% (1,702)
-2.1%
On power play, Danault has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Hayes
Danault
Home
48.1% (3,982)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Hayes
Danault
P1
47.5%
53.7%
P2
47.6%
53.5%
P3
47.9%
52.7%
OT
54.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |