Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Danault 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 60.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Hayes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayes
Danault
Last 6: Hayes 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
52.4% (958)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.0% (71)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
47.6% (187)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Hayes
Danault
Home
50.5% (200)
51.2% (605)
Away
53.4% (253)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Hayes
Danault
P1
58.8%
53.1%
P2
49.3%
49.8%
P3
48.0%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |