Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Danault 51.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Hayes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayes
Danault
Last 8: Hayes 6-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
52.6% (895)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
55.7% (97)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
45.5% (165)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Hayes
Danault
Home
58.0% (405)
54.0% (581)
Away
56.1% (433)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Hayes
Danault
P1
54.7%
53.7%
P2
55.7%
55.3%
P3
60.2%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |