Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Johansen 54.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 93.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 85.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Hayes
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Hayes
Johansen
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
1
Hayes
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
54.0% (1,251)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
58.9% (158)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
55.6% (63)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Hayes
Johansen
Home
46.6% (459)
56.3% (746)
Away
44.8% (509)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Hayes
Johansen
P1
43.0%
54.0%
P2
49.5%
53.8%
P3
44.7%
55.7%
OT
28.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |