Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 30-30 in 60 meetings
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Hayes
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
30
(60 meetings)
30
30
Hayes
Johansen
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
11
Hayes
Johansen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
17
11
Hayes
Johansen
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
8
Hayes
Johansen
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.2% (2,163)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
50.5% (978)
-5.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Hayes shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Hayes
Johansen
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Hayes
Johansen
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
53.9%
P3
47.9%
52.8%
OT
54.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |