Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 89.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 85.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Hayes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hayes
Bennett
Last 5: Hayes 5-0 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
44.7% (772)
+11.9%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
56.9% (58)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
42.9% (28)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bennett
Home
58.0% (405)
48.5% (447)
Away
56.1% (433)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Hayes
Bennett
P1
54.7%
47.1%
P2
55.7%
45.8%
P3
60.2%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |