Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 61.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Hayes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Hayes
Bennett
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Hayes
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
3
Hayes
Bennett
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Hayes
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
46.8% (5,683)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
53.7% (555)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
41.8% (256)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bennett
Home
48.1% (3,982)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Hayes
Bennett
P1
47.5%
48.0%
P2
47.6%
46.5%
P3
47.9%
46.9%
OT
54.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |