Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 64.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Hayes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Hayes
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
46.5% (909)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
43.1% (51)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
38.5% (13)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bennett
Home
50.5% (200)
45.4% (449)
Away
53.4% (253)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Hayes
Bennett
P1
58.8%
49.6%
P2
49.3%
43.7%
P3
48.0%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |