Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Couturier 48.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 86.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Hayes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Couturier
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Hayes
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Hayes
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
47.4% (1,052)
-10.3%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
54.7% (95)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
50.3% (183)
-50.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
36.7% (354)
48.3% (658)
Away
35.8% (327)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
33.6%
50.1%
P2
38.3%
45.5%
P3
37.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |