Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 83.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 75.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Hayes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Hayes
Couturier
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
5
Hayes
Couturier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
8
Hayes
Couturier
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Hayes
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
59.7% (1,280)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.5% (1,816)
-3.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
47.6%
52.6%
P3
47.9%
52.9%
OT
54.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |