Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Couturier 55.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Hayes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayes
Couturier
Last 8: Hayes 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Hayes
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Hayes
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
55.1% (1,008)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
64.1% (142)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
53.3% (45)
+6.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
50.5% (200)
58.1% (609)
Away
53.4% (253)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
58.8%
55.3%
P2
49.3%
55.8%
P3
48.0%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |