Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Hayes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayes
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
53.8% (1,003)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
56.4% (202)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
42.7% (89)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
58.0% (405)
54.4% (680)
Away
56.1% (433)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
55.7%
51.8%
P3
60.2%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |