Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Kuraly 49.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Hayes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Kuraly
Last 6: Hayes 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Hayes
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
52.4% (416)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
32.0% (97)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (404)
52.1% (259)
Away
48.6% (422)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
50.7%
46.8%
P2
50.2%
52.4%
P3
49.8%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |