Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Hayes
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
51.8% (444)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.3% (150)
-45.3%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
30.6% (49)
54.6% (304)
Away
40.4% (57)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
22.9%
55.2%
P2
40.0%
45.7%
P3
44.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
30.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%