Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Hayes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Hayes
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
49.4% (445)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
100.0% (3)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
41.9% (117)
+23.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
58.0% (405)
49.2% (248)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
54.7%
48.3%
P2
55.7%
44.7%
P3
60.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |