Kevin Hayes vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hayes
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Hayes
Girgensons
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
1
Hayes
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Girgensons
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
4
6
Hayes
Girgensons
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
45.4% (2,700)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
49.1% (175)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
42.2% (481)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
48.1% (3,982)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
47.5%
45.7%
P2
47.6%
44.1%
P3
47.9%
45.5%
OT
54.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |