Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Hayes
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
47.2% (127)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
50.5% (200)
50.0% (80)
Away
53.4% (253)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
58.8%
40.5%
P2
49.3%
54.3%
P3
48.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |