Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Girgensons 45.8% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 76.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hayes
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
43.2% (146)
-11.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
50.0% (2)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.8% (29)
-44.8%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
30.6% (49)
40.3% (72)
Away
40.4% (57)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
22.9%
43.8%
P2
40.0%
44.6%
P3
44.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
30.4%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%