Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Rooney 45.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 95.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 78.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Matthews
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Matthews
Rooney
Last 7: Matthews 6-1 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Rooney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
45.5% (367)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
44.4% (9)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
35.7% (28)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rooney
Home
60.7% (572)
47.5% (219)
Away
52.4% (657)
41.6% (185)
By Period
Matthews
Rooney
P1
60.3%
46.4%
P2
55.6%
46.3%
P3
53.3%
42.0%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |