Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 49.5% vs Duchene 54.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 59.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 89.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 70.1%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Rooney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rooney
Duchene
Last 7: Rooney 1-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Rooney
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Rooney
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Rooney
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (334)
55.4% (1,013)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.3% (192)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (40)
41.2% (17)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rooney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Rooney shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Rooney
Duchene
Home
52.0% (198)
56.2% (642)
Away
46.4% (181)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Rooney
Duchene
P1
55.3%
56.2%
P2
40.3%
56.5%
P3
55.1%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 03:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |