Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Duchene 54.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rooney 54.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 88.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 72.7%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Rooney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Rooney
Duchene
Last 10: Rooney 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rooney
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Rooney
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Rooney
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
53.9% (10,396)
-7.2%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
56.9% (1,665)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
49.1% (468)
-5.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Rooney
Duchene
Home
47.4% (1,227)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Rooney
Duchene
P1
48.1%
54.5%
P2
47.1%
54.5%
P3
43.6%
53.4%
OT
12.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 03:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |