Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 70.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Rooney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rooney
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Rooney
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
53.0% (723)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.5% (101)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
43.8% (16)
+3.3%
On power play, Rooney has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Rooney
Duchene
Home
45.8% (203)
54.9% (408)
Away
48.6% (210)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Rooney
Duchene
P1
47.2%
52.5%
P2
55.0%
51.7%
P3
37.3%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |