Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (-9.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 74.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rooney
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
56.5% (566)
-8.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.3% (62)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
22.2% (9)
+6.4%
On even strength, Duchene has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Rooney
Duchene
Home
49.1% (112)
56.6% (318)
Away
43.8% (96)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Rooney
Duchene
P1
40.0%
57.2%
P2
53.4%
55.1%
P3
46.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%