Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.8% vs Paul 50.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 69.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.2%
Neutral zone
Rooney 52.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Rooney
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rooney
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rooney
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (367)
53.0% (644)
-7.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
37.5% (24)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
42.9% (177)
-7.2%
On even strength, Paul has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Rooney shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Rooney
Paul
Home
47.5% (219)
52.5% (516)
Away
41.6% (185)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Rooney
Paul
P1
46.4%
47.6%
P2
46.3%
48.4%
P3
42.0%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |