Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Paul 52.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 76.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 79.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 76.8%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Rooney
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rooney
Paul
Last 7: Rooney 1-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rooney
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
5
Rooney
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
52.5% (3,796)
-5.8%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
56.5% (480)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
46.7% (574)
-3.3%
On power play, Paul has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Rooney
Paul
Home
47.4% (1,227)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Rooney
Paul
P1
48.1%
53.9%
P2
47.1%
51.0%
P3
43.6%
52.0%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |