Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Paul 53.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 67.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 74.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 56.2%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Rooney
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rooney
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rooney
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
53.1% (710)
-5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
57.3% (199)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
58.0% (69)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Rooney
Paul
Home
49.1% (112)
56.0% (466)
Away
43.8% (96)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Rooney
Paul
P1
40.0%
57.2%
P2
53.4%
54.9%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |