Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.8% vs Sturm 52.5% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Rooney 70.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 70.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Rooney
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (367)
54.0% (480)
-8.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
28.6% (7)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
50.0% (102)
-14.3%
On power play, Rooney has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Rooney shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Rooney
Sturm
Home
47.5% (219)
54.0% (287)
Away
41.6% (185)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Rooney
Sturm
P1
46.4%
53.5%
P2
46.3%
51.0%
P3
42.0%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%