Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Sturm 59.0% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 60.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.6%
Neutral zone
Rooney 65.8%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Rooney
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rooney
Sturm
Last 6: Rooney 2-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Rooney
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rooney
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Rooney
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
60.6% (708)
-12.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.1% (18)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
56.4% (101)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Rooney
Sturm
Home
49.1% (112)
61.6% (451)
Away
43.8% (96)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Rooney
Sturm
P1
40.0%
55.9%
P2
53.4%
58.9%
P3
46.7%
64.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |