Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Sturm 57.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 57.5%
Defensive zone
Rooney 56.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 59.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Rooney
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rooney
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Rooney
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
62.1% (356)
-15.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
75.0% (4)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
38.7% (62)
+8.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Rooney
Sturm
Home
45.8% (203)
61.8% (191)
Away
48.6% (210)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Rooney
Sturm
P1
47.2%
58.0%
P2
55.0%
57.9%
P3
37.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |