Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Stenlund 51.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 85.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Lizotte
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Lizotte
Stenlund
Last 6: Lizotte 0-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Lizotte
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Lizotte
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
54.4% (592)
-6.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
42.9% (14)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
44.1% (229)
-2.8%
On power play, Stenlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stenlund
Home
48.8% (170)
50.7% (402)
Away
45.1% (195)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Lizotte
Stenlund
P1
44.4%
56.5%
P2
53.3%
52.4%
P3
43.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |