Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 84.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 53.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Last 6: Gaudreau 1-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Gaudreau
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
58.2% (359)
-9.8%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
47.1% (17)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
42.0% (150)
+8.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
51.1% (507)
53.6% (261)
Away
47.4% (508)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
49.4%
55.4%
P2
47.4%
51.5%
P3
51.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |