Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+16.6%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Stenlund
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
34.4% (535)
+20.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
42.9% (21)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
40.0% (5)
+4.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Carlsson
Home
50.7% (402)
38.6% (254)
Away
52.0% (433)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Stenlund
Carlsson
P1
56.5%
35.9%
P2
52.4%
33.8%
P3
45.2%
34.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%