Kevin Stenlund vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 66.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 96.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 92.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Stenlund
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Stenlund
Celebrini
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
47.2% (901)
+11.4%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
54.7% (139)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
54.5% (11)
+6.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Celebrini is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Celebrini
Home
58.6% (548)
47.6% (553)
Away
59.7% (506)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Stenlund
Celebrini
P1
60.2%
46.6%
P2
59.1%
46.4%
P3
58.3%
51.8%
OT
58.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |