Kevin Stenlund vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 80.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 55.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Stenlund
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Stenlund
Celebrini
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
6
Stenlund
Celebrini
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
48.2% (924)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
52.8% (108)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
56.0% (25)
-3.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Celebrini is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Celebrini
Home
57.0% (458)
47.8% (523)
Away
52.6% (511)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Stenlund
Celebrini
P1
55.1%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
OT
42.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |