Kevin Stenlund vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Celebrini 48.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 60.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 78.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Stenlund
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Stenlund
Celebrini
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
8
Stenlund
Celebrini
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
9
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
47.7% (1,825)
+7.6%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
53.8% (247)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
55.6% (36)
-5.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Celebrini
Home
54.3% (1,848)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
Stenlund
Celebrini
P1
56.4%
47.2%
P2
53.3%
46.9%
P3
52.8%
51.5%
OT
52.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |